The United States

1. Producer prices unexpectedly surged in April, well above consensus estimates. The March inflation rates were also revised upward.


• PPI inflation jumped across goods and services.


• Energy prices continue to increase rapidly as a result of higher oil prices.


– Transportation and warehousing services prices leapt, reflecting higher gasoline and jet fuel prices.


• Business markups rose sharply. Retailers might be taking advantage of strength in consumer spending enabled by the tax refunds, so the surge is unlikely to be sustainable.


• While the PPI numbers were undoubtedly strong, the components relevant for PCE were mixed.
– Passenger airfares rose further.


– The portfolio management component declined.

2. Mortgage applications rebounded as the 30-year fixed mortgage rate remained stable (+1 bp).


• Refinancing activity ticked down.

3. Homeownership among adults ages 25 to 34 fell for the second consecutive year to 30%.

Source: Apartment List Read full article

• Here’s a look at young adult homeownership by metropolitan area.

Source: Apartment List Read full article

4. The final Chicago Fed CARTS estimates show that retail sales ex-auto for April rose by 0.8% month over month …


… while the inflation-adjusted measure was flat.

5. Bank of America survey shows that most travelers are adjusting, but not canceling their summer travel plans in response to the higher oil prices.

Source: Bank of America Institute Read full article

• Spending on airline transactions has weakened.

Source: Bank of America Institute Read full article

6. The net change in jobs (hires minus layoffs) has changed little in the information technology sector, but there’s been a surge in labor churn (hiring and firing activity).

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