The United States

1. The ISM manufacturing PMI rose to a four-year high.


– This chart shows the contribution of each component to the headline figure.


• Firms boosted orders …


… and production amid supply chain disruptions.


• Employment remained in contraction, but the pace of contraction eased.


• The price index inched down but remained elevated, indicating some stubbornness in price pressures.


• Despite the strong print, the gap between PMI and the ratio of cyclical versus defensive equities remains large.

2. Construction spending increased in April, surpassing consensus estimates, …


… driven by strength in private residential construction, which offset a pullback in non-residential activity.


• Data center construction spending remains strong, widening the lead over general office construction.

3. Our timely underlying growth remains solid, tracking growth at around 3.0%.


• Strength in business activity has offset the moderation in consumer activity.

4. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model is now tracking Q1 GDP at 3%.

Canada

1. Canada’s manufacturing PMI eased but still indicated a solid expansion. While output, new orders, and employment all increased, growth was undermined by surging cost pressures and supply chain issues.

Euro Area

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