The United States

1. The ISM manufacturing PMI rose to a four-year high.

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– This chart shows the contribution of each component to the headline figure.

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• Firms boosted orders …

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… and production amid supply chain disruptions.

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• Employment remained in contraction, but the pace of contraction eased.

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• The price index inched down but remained elevated, indicating some stubbornness in price pressures.

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• Despite the strong print, the gap between PMI and the ratio of cyclical versus defensive equities remains large.

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2. Construction spending increased in April, surpassing consensus estimates, …

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… driven by strength in private residential construction, which offset a pullback in non-residential activity.

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• Data center construction spending remains strong, widening the lead over general office construction.

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3. Our timely underlying growth remains solid, tracking growth at around 3.0%.

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• Strength in business activity has offset the moderation in consumer activity.

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4. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model is now tracking Q1 GDP at 3%.

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Canada

1. Canada’s manufacturing PMI eased but still indicated a solid expansion. While output, new orders, and employment all increased, growth was undermined by surging cost pressures and supply chain issues.

Euro Area

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